Aged care visitor access code

COVID-19 is a very dangerous disease for the aged. The 16 deaths so far at Newmarch House show how lethal it can be in an aged care facility.

We are using a model of 25 million Australians to show the potential spread of COVID-19 to vulnerable populations, such as those in aged care and prisons.

Our model is based on the scientific research available on the infectivity of persons from infection to recovery, but this research is very uncertain. There are particular doubts about the proportions of infected persons who are asymptomatic.

Workers on average travel about 16 kms to work, but can travel much further in regions with low population density. COVID-19 risks in rural and remote areas are thus likely to increase if present restrictions are eased to reduce economic losses.

Temperatures of all residents should be automatically monitored, so that any new COVID-19 cases can be quickly detected.